Research: Acquire First-Party Retailer Loyalty Data
Summary
This research document explores the strategic imperative for beverage companies to acquire first-party retailer loyalty data to understand fragmented consumer shopping habits and mitigate cannibalization. It highlights that the NoLo (non-alcoholic and low-alcoholic) beverage market suffers from extremely low brand loyalty, making granular data collection essential for market leaders like anheuser-busch-inbev and challengers like athletic-brewing.
Key Findings
- The Dual-Purchaser Dominance: Data from nielseniq reveals that over 93% of non-alcohol buyers also purchase traditional alcoholic beverages. This heavily reinforces the zebra-striping trend, proving that NoLo is primarily an occasion-expansion play rather than a category exclusively for teetotalers.
- Low Brand Loyalty: Only 24% of consumers stick to the same NoLo brand. The category is treated as an expanding repertoire, leading to high situational switching.
- The Loyalty Paradox: The ubiquity of retail loyalty programs has saturated the consumer market. Because shoppers belong to multiple overlapping programs, true brand loyalty is paradoxically diminished, resulting in highly fluid switching behavior.
- Verticalized AI in Beverage: Leading brewers are deploying specialized AI to process vast amounts of POS and loyalty data. This technology is used to identify retail white space, optimize package sizes based on hyper-local trends, and prevent promotional cannibalization.
- DTC as a Data Silo Bypass: Because retailers hoard data within retail-media-networks, brands are increasingly using Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) and subscription models to build direct relationships and gather unit-level consumption data. This also allows brands to bypass local retail restrictions by placing NoLo equivalents in natural-focused grocery chains like whole-foods.
- Household Data Limitations: While POS data accurately tracks what a household buys, it fails to capture the crucial context of who is drinking it and why (e.g., sobriety vs. damp-drinking), leaving a blind spot in occasion-based marketing.
- The 40-60 Split: The document reiterates data from AB InBev showing that only 40% of NoLo volume cannibalizes traditional beer, while 60% is fully incremental.